More stuff: Text saved data (forecasts, obs, etc.).
Forecast Research Division
On this page is a collection of fairly detailed case studies presented to document how well various models (FSL's hot-start MM5, the 20 km RUC, and the 22 km "Mesoeta") perform in predicting two mesoscale circulations common in northeastern Colorado: the Denver Cyclone and the Longmont Anticyclone. A portion of this work will be presented at the AMS Mesoscale Conference in late July 2001, and here is a pdf file version of that paper.
I. Longmont Anticyclone events: These first 3 cases were saved mainly for snow potential.
Saved the 1800 UTC runs of the hot-start MM5 and the Mesoeta.
More stuff: Text saved data (forecasts, obs, etc.).
Figure 1: MM5 1800 UTC run 0 h surface wind and reflectivity, overlaid with obs and NOWRAD.
Notice how the MM5 initial wind field nicely matches the observations showing the lighter winds
with different directions near Boulder County, as would be expected since it initialized with LAPS.
Figure 2: Mesoeta 1800 UTC run 0 h surface wind, overlaid with obs and NOWRAD.
The match of the winds with the obs is not nearly as good as with MM5 at 0 h.
Figure 3: 0 h surface winds from MM5 and the Mesoeta overlaid for direct comparison. These are
displayed at maximum resolution, which for the AWIPS display is 20 km for the Mesoeta (even though the
model's maximum resolution is actually 22 km), so there are 2 wind barbs from MM5 for every Mesoeta wind.
Figure 4: MM5 1800 UTC run 3 h surface wind and reflectivity, overlaid with obs and NOWRAD, valid
for 2100 UTC.
Figure 5: Mesoeta 1800 UTC run 3 h surface wind and 3-h accumulated precipitation, overlaid with obs and
NOWRAD, valid for 2100 UTC.
Figure 6: 3 h surface winds from MM5 and the Mesoeta overlaid for direct comparison.
Figure 7: MM5 1800 UTC run 6 h surface wind and reflectivity, overlaid with obs and NOWRAD, valid
for 0000 UTC on 7 November 2000.
Figure 8: Closeup of Figure 7 zooming in along the Front Range. Neither model turns the winds as
much as observed (see the se flow at BJC, for example).
Figure 9: Mesoeta 1800 UTC run 6 h surface wind and 3-h accumulated precipitation, overlaid with obs and
NOWRAD, valid for 0000 UTC on 7 November 2000.
Figure 10: Comparison of 6 h forecast from Mesoeta and MM5 18z runs for the Longmont Anticyclone.
Figure 11: MM5 1800 UTC run 7 h surface wind and reflectivity, overlaid with obs and CYS radar, valid
for 0100 UTC on 7 November 2000.
Figure 12: MM5 1800 UTC run 7 h surface wind and reflectivity with storm total precipitation forecast,
overlaid with obs and DEN (KFTG) radar, valid for 0100 UTC on 7 November 2000.
Figure 13: Closeup of Figure 12 (but without winds). Most of the precipitation was forecast for the
foothills, especially west of Boulder, whereas it turned out that most fell in the southern and western Denver
suburbs.
Figure 14: Closeup of MM5 1800 UTC run 9 h forecast of reflectivity and storm total precipitation forecast
valid for 0300 UTC on 7 November 2000.
Figure 15: Closeup of MM5 1800 UTC run 12 h forecast of reflectivity and storm total precipitation forecast
valid for 0600 UTC on 7 November 2000. Note: a coop site near Nederland, where the max precipitation was forecast,
did not record any snowfall for this event.
Shortwave trough passage with synoptic NWly flow behind it, with potential for a LGM Anticyclone and of course mountain orographic snowfall. In this case the NWlys tended to overwhelm any significant LGM Anticyclone, which was overpredicted by the model runs. A nice snowband did occur on the plains but appeared to be at the leading edge of the trough and surge of NWly low level flow, and proceeded to move from near the foothills at 13-14 UTC to vicinity of AKO by ~1800 UTC. This band was not predicted very well by the 1200 UTC MM5 run, while with the hot start the 1800 UTC run nicely captured it and held it together for awhile as it continued east (while diminishing in real life), about as forecast.
In the mountains good snowfall occurred commencing probably ~1000 UTC on 15 Nov, with most of it probably over by the evening of the 15 Nov. Both runs tended to underforecast the amount of snowfall, but appeared to do a decent job with distribution, with Steamboat (12" for 24 h ending 16 Nov at 1200 UTC) and Vail (10" for similar) getting by far the most.
Overview and data (forecasts, obs, etc.).
Figure 1: MM5 initialization at 1200 UTC for surface wind and reflectivity, overlaid with observations and radar.
Figure 2: MM5 1200 UTC run 3 h forecast of surface wind and reflectivity, overlaid with observations and radar,
valid 1500 UTC 15 Nov.
Figure 3: MM5 1200 UTC run 6 h forecast of surface wind and reflectivity, overlaid with observations and radar
valid 1800 UTC 15 Nov.
Figure 4: MM5 1200 UTC run 6 h forecast of storm total precipitation and snowfall, for 6 h period ending at
1800 UTC on 15 Nov 00.
Figure 5: MM5 initialization at 1800 UTC for surface wind and reflectivity, overlaid with observations and radar.
Figure 6: MM5 1200 UTC run 9 h forecast of surface wind and reflectivity, valid 2100 UTC 15 Nov.
Figure 7: MM5 1800 UTC run 3 h forecast of surface wind and reflectivity, overlaid with observations and radar,
valid 2100 UTC 15 Nov.
Figure 8: MM5 1800 UTC run 3 h forecast of storm total precipitation and snowfall, for 3 h period ending at
2100 UTC on 15 Nov 00.
Figure 9: METAR observations and NOWRAD radar valid at 2100 UTC 15 Nov.
Figure 10: MM5 1800 UTC run 5 h forecast of surface wind and reflectivity, overlaid with observations and radar
valid 2300 UTC 15 Nov.
Figure 11: MM5 1200 UTC run 5 h forecast of storm total precipitation and snowfall, for 5 h period ending at
2300 UTC on 15 Nov 00.
Figure 12: MM5 1200 UTC run 12 h forecast of surface wind and reflectivity, valid 0000 UTC 16 Nov.
Figure 13: MM5 1800 UTC run 6 h forecast of 700 mb wind and storm total precipitation and snowfall,
valid at 0000 UTC 16 Nov.
Figure 14: MM5 1200 UTC run 12 h forecast of storm total precipitation and snowfall, for 12 h period ending at
0000 UTC on 16 Nov 00.
Figure 15: METAR observations and NOWRAD radar valid at 0000 UTC 16 Nov.
Figure 16: DEN sounding for 0000 UTC 16 Nov.
Figure 17: MM5 1200 UTC run 15 h forecast of surface wind and reflectivity, valid 0300 UTC 16 Nov.
Figure 18: MM5 1200 UTC run 24 h forecast of storm total precipitation and snowfall, for 24 h period ending at
1200 UTC on 16 Nov 00. Overall, the mountain snowfall was underforecast, while snowfall associated with the Longmont
Anticyclone (zone 39, for example) was overforecast.
Figure 19: MM5 1800 UTC run 18 h forecast of storm total precipitation and snowfall, for 18 h period ending at
1200 UTC on 16 Nov 00. Probably a better forecast than the 1200 UTC run farther east on the plains, capturing the
area of snow associated with the shortwave trough, but still having a band with the LGM Anticyclone that was not there.
While it is not possible to know how much snow fell during the 1200-1800 UTC period on 15 Nov in the mountains, it looks
like this run did not do as well as the 1200 UTC run, with both underforecasting mountain snowfall for this event.
Figure 20: Closeup of MM5 1800 UTC run 18 h forecast of storm total precipitation and snowfall,
for 18 h period ending at 1200 UTC on 16 Nov 00.
Figure 21: Closeup with cities overlay of MM5 1800 UTC run 18 h forecast of storm total precipitation and
snowfall, for 18 h period ending at 1200 UTC on 16 Nov 00. Note there is a max of snowfall near Steamboat, where
12" in 24 h ending at 1200 UTC/16 Nov fell. The forecast is only for a max of 1.5", but it may be fair to subtract
~6" from the 24 h snowfall total (based on the ~2 pm snow report on 15 Nov) at Steamboat to get a comparitive ob of
~6". So while still a substantial underforecast, at least the max in location had the right idea.
What happened was a burst of snow began ~23z locally and quickly became at least moderate snow here, with a good burst of nely winds producing some blowing snow. By ~715 pm had accumulated ~3.5" here in the parking lot, but when I got home at ~730pm could only measure 1.5", so quite an extreme dropoff with distance east of the foothills. Heaviest accumulations were in fact in the foothills themselves of zone 36, with up to 8" near Tiny Town. Note how Allenspark had less than an inch. One thing about the snow was it had very low liquid water content; at least 20:1 or higher, so in effect some model predictions were not far off from that perspective.
Saved the 18z run of both the hot-start MM5 and the Mesoeta. Most of the snow fell here in BOU from 23z/17th to 04z/18th.
In terms of the mountains, both models predicted a rather light event, and generally only an inch or two fell, with Eldora getting 3" (upslope from the east there probably responsible for most of this).
Overview and data (forecasts, obs, etc.).
Figure 1: MM5 initialization at 1800 UTC for surface wind and reflectivity, overlaid with observations
and radar.
Figure 2: Mesoeta 1800 UTC run, 0 h surface and 700 mb wind with observations. While not a "bad" surface wind
analysis, the MM5 analysis fits the observations better (as might be expected since it uses LAPS).
Figure 3: MM5 1800 UTC run 1 h forecast of surface wind and reflectivity valid at 1900 UTC,
overlaid with observations and radar.
Figure 4: MM5 1800 UTC run 2 h forecast of surface wind and reflectivity valid at 2000 UTC,
overlaid with observations and radar.
Figure 5: MM5 1800 UTC run 3 h forecast of surface wind and reflectivity valid at 2100 UTC,
overlaid with observations and radar.
Figure 6: MM5 1800 UTC run 3 h forecast of total precipitation and snowfall, ending 2100 UTC.
Figure 7: MM5 1800 UTC run 3 h forecast of 700 mb wind and surface reflectivity, overlaid with 700 mb profiler
wind plot and NOWRAD, for 2100 UTC.
Figure 8: Mesoeta 1800 UTC run, 3 h surface and snow accumulation forecast, with observations.
Figure 9: MM5 1800 UTC run 4 h forecast of surface wind and reflectivity valid at 2200 UTC,
overlaid with observations and radar (CYS and DEN radar combined image).
Figure 9a: Same as Figure 8 but with radar overlay of KFTG (Denver) radar only.
Figure 10: MM5 1800 UTC run 5 h forecast of surface wind and reflectivity valid at 2300 UTC,
overlaid with observations and KFTG radar.
Figure 11: MM5 1800 UTC run 6 h forecast of surface wind and reflectivity valid at 0000 UTC 18 November,
overlaid with observations and KFTG radar.
Figure 12: MM5 1800 UTC run 6 h forecast of total precipitation and snowfall, for 6 h ending 0000 UTC 18 November.
Figure 13: MM5 1800 UTC run 6 h forecast of 700 mb wind and surface reflectivity, overlaid with 700 mb profiler
wind plot and NOWRAD, for 0000 UTC 18 November.
Figure 14: Mesoeta 1800 UTC run, 6 h surface and snow accumulation forecast, with observations,
ending 0000 UTC 18 November.
Figure 15: MM5 1800 UTC run 7 h forecast of surface wind and reflectivity valid at 0100 UTC 18 November,
overlaid with observations and KFTG radar.
Figure 16: MM5 1800 UTC run 9 h forecast of surface wind and reflectivity valid at 0300 UTC 18 November.
Figure 17: KFTG (Denver) low-level reflectivity image for 0300 UTC 18 November.
Figure 18: MM5 1800 UTC run 9 h forecast of total precipitation and snowfall, for 9 h ending 0300 UTC 18 November.
Figure 19: Mesoeta 1800 UTC run, 9 h surface wind, snow and 6-h precipitation accumulation forecast,
ending 0300 UTC 18 November.
Figure 20: MM5 1800 UTC run 9 h forecast of 700 mb wind with snow and 6-h precipitation accumulation forecast,
valid 0300 UTC 18 November.
Figure 21: MM5 1800 UTC run 12 h forecast of 700 mb wind with snow and 6-h precipitation accumulation forecast,
valid 0600 UTC 18 November.
Figure 22: KFTG (Denver) low-level reflectivity image for 0400 UTC 18 November.
Figure 23: KFTG (Denver) low-level reflectivity image for 0500 UTC 18 November.
Figure 24: KFTG (Denver) low-level reflectivity image for 0600 UTC 18 November.
Figure 25: KFTG (Denver) low-level reflectivity image for 1200 UTC 18 November.
Figure 26: PTL profiler time series ending at 0100 UTC on 18 November.
Figure 27: DEN sounding for 1200 UTC on 17 November.
Figure 28: DEN sounding for 0000 UTC on 18 November. Note the steep low-level lapse rate now present.
II. Other Longmont Anticyclone events.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
A. 30 April 2001
...description...
MM5hot forecasts from 1800 UTC run on 30 April 2001.
0 h surface forecast of
wind valid 1800 UTC on 30 April.
1 h surface forecast of
wind valid 1900 UTC on 30 April.
2 h surface forecast of
wind valid 2000 UTC on 30 April.
3 h surface forecast of
wind valid 2100 UTC on 30 April.
4 h surface forecast of
wind valid 2200 UTC on 30 April.
5 h surface forecast of
wind valid 2300 UTC on 30 April.
6 h surface forecast of
wind valid 0000 UTC on 1 May.
Mesoeta forecasts from 1800 UTC run on 30 April 2001.
0 h surface wind forecast
valid 1800 UTC on 30 April.
3 h surface wind forecast
valid 2100 UTC on 30 April.
6 h surface wind forecast
valid 0000 UTC on 1 May.
20 km RUC forecasts from 1800/1900 UTC run on 30 April 2001.
1900 UTC run 0 h surface forecast of
wind valid 1900 UTC on 30 April.
1800 UTC 3 h surface forecast of
wind valid 2100 UTC on 30 April.
1800 UTC 6 h surface forecast of
wind valid 0000 UTC on 30 April.
Verification.
LAPS analyses with surface observations.
For 1800 UTC on 30 April.
Zoomed over DEN area for 1800 UTC.
For 2100 UTC on 30 April.
Zoomed over DEN area for 2100 UTC.
For 0000 UTC on 1 May.
Zoomed over DEN area for
0000 UTC.
III. Denver Cyclone events.
A. 24 March 2001
Verification: Saved the METARS and LAPS wind analyses. A good Denver Cyclone did develop, but need to examine the details of the obs further to see which model verified best.
MM5 forecasts from 1800 UTC run on 23 March 2001.
18h surface forecast
(surface wind and temperature) valid 1200 UTC on 24 March.
Zoomed image of 18h forecast.
21h surface forecast
(surface wind and temperature) valid 1500 UTC on 24 March.
Zoomed image of 21h forecast.
24h surface forecast
(surface wind and temperature) valid 1800 UTC on 24 March.
Zoomed image of 24h forecast.
Mesoeta forecasts from 1800 UTC run on 23 March 2001.
18h surface forecast
(surface wind and temperature) valid 1200 UTC on 24 March.
Zoomed image of 18h forecast.
21h surface forecast
(surface wind and temperature) valid 1500 UTC on 24 March.
24h surface forecast
(surface wind and temperature) valid 1800 UTC on 24 March.
Zoomed image of 24h forecast.
27h surface forecast
(surface wind and temperature) valid 2100 UTC on 24 March.
RUC-20km forecasts from 1800 UTC run on 23 March 2001.
18h surface forecast
(surface wind barbs, image is surface wind speed) valid 1200 UTC on 24 March.
21h surface forecast
(surface wind, image is surface wind speed) valid 1500 UTC on 24 March.
24h surface forecast
(surface wind, image is surface wind speed) valid 1800 UTC on 24 March.
Zoomed image of 24h forecast.
27h surface forecast
valid 2100 UTC on 24 March.
Verification
LAPS analysis
of wind at 1200 UTC on 24 March.
LAPS analysis
of wind at 1500 UTC on 24 March.
LAPS analysis
of wind at 1800 UTC on 24 March.
LAPS analysis
of wind at 2100 UTC on 24 March.
Listing of METARS.
State scale topo map
MM5hot forecasts from 1800 UTC run on 16 April 2001.
15 h surface forecast of
state scale surface wind and
surface wind and temperature
valid 0900 UTC on 17 April.
21 h surface forecast of
state scale surface wind and
surface wind and temperature
valid 1500 UTC on 17 April.
Mesoeta forecasts from 1800 UTC run on 16 April 2001.
15 h surface forecast of
state scale surface wind and
surface wind and temperature
valid 0900 UTC on 17 April.
21 h surface forecast of
state scale surface wind and
surface wind and temperature
valid 1500 UTC on 17 April.
20 km RUC forecast from 2100 UTC run on 16 April 2001.
12 h surface forecast of
surface wind valid 0900 UTC on 17 April.
MM5hot forecasts from 1200 UTC run on 17 April 2001.
0 h surface forecast of
surface wind and temperature and
zoomed image of surface wind and temperature
valid 1200 UTC on 17 April.
3 h surface forecast of
surface wind and temperature and
zoomed image of surface wind and temperature
valid 1500 UTC on 17 April.
6 h surface forecast of
surface wind and temperature and
zoomed image of surface wind and temperature
valid 1800 UTC on 17 April.
9 h surface forecast of
surface wind and temperature and
zoomed image of surface wind and temperature
valid 2100 UTC on 17 April.
12 h surface forecast of
surface wind and temperature and
zoomed image of surface wind and temperature
valid 0000 UTC on 18 April.
13 h surface forecast of
zoomed image of surface wind and temperature
valid 0100 UTC on 18 April.
14 h surface forecast of
zoomed image of surface wind and temperature
valid 0200 UTC on 18 April.
15 h surface forecast of
surface wind and temperature and
zoomed image of surface wind and temperature
valid 0300 UTC on 18 April.
16 h surface forecast of
zoomed image of surface wind and temperature
valid 0400 UTC on 18 April.
17 h surface forecast of
zoomed image of surface wind and temperature
valid 0500 UTC on 18 April.
18 h surface forecast of
surface wind and temperature and
zoomed image of surface wind and temperature
valid 0600 UTC on 18 April.
19 h surface forecast of
zoomed image of surface wind and temperature
valid 0700 UTC on 18 April.
20 h surface forecast of
zoomed image of surface wind and temperature
valid 0800 UTC on 18 April.
21 h surface forecast of
surface wind and temperature and
zoomed image of surface wind and temperature
valid 0900 UTC on 18 April.
24 h surface forecast of
surface wind and temperature and
zoomed image of surface wind and temperature
valid 1200 UTC on 18 April.
Mesoeta forecasts from 1200 UTC run on 17 April 2001.
0 h surface wind and temperature forecast
valid 1200 UTC on 17 April.
3 h surface wind and temperature forecast
valid 1500 UTC on 17 April.
6 h surface wind and temperature forecast
valid 1800 UTC on 17 April.
9 h surface wind and temperature forecast
valid 2100 UTC on 17 April.
12 h surface wind and temperature forecast
valid 0000 UTC on 18 April.
15 h surface wind and temperature forecast
valid 0300 UTC on 18 April.
18 h surface wind and temperature forecast
valid 0600 UTC on 18 April.
21 h surface wind and temperature forecast
valid 0900 UTC on 18 April.
20 km RUC forecast from 1200 UTC run on 17 April 2001.
6 h surface wind forecast
valid 1800 UTC on 17 April.
"Level 3" surface wind forecast.
9 h surface forecast of
wind and temperature
valid 2100 UTC on 17 April.
12 h surface forecast of
wind and temperature
valid 0000 UTC on 18 April.
20 km RUC forecast from 1400 UTC run on 17 April 2001.
6 h surface forecast of
wind and temperature
valid 2000 UTC on 17 April.
Verification.
Text file of obs and forecasts.
Larger-scale surface analyses.
Valid 1200 UTC on 17 April 2001.
Valid 0000 UTC on 18 April 2001.
DEN soundings.
Valid 1200 UTC on 17 April 2001.
Valid 0000 UTC on 18 April 2001.
Valid 1200 UTC on 18 April 2001.
PTL profiler time series.
Valid 1200 UTC on 17 April 2001.
Valid 0000 UTC on 18 April 2001.
Valid 1200 UTC on 18 April 2001.
State scale surface data plots.
Valid 1200 UTC on 17 April.
Valid 1300 UTC on 17 April.
Valid 1500 UTC on 17 April.
Valid 1600 UTC on 17 April.
Valid 1700 UTC on 17 April.
Valid 1800 UTC on 17 April.
Valid 1900 UTC on 17 April.
Valid 2000 UTC on 17 April.
Valid 2100 UTC on 17 April.
Valid 2200 UTC on 17 April.
Valid 2300 UTC on 17 April.
Valid 0000 UTC on 18 April.
Valid 0100 UTC on 18 April.
Valid 0200 UTC on 18 April.
Valid 0300 UTC on 18 April.
Valid 0400 UTC on 18 April.
Valid 0500 UTC on 18 April.
Valid 0600 UTC on 18 April.
Valid 0700 UTC on 18 April.
Valid 0800 UTC on 18 April.
Valid 0900 UTC on 18 April.
Valid 1000 UTC on 18 April.
Valid 1100 UTC on 18 April.
Valid 1200 UTC on 18 April.
Surface data plots focusing on DEN to southern Wyoming.
Valid 0900 UTC on 17 April.
Valid 1200 UTC on 17 April.
Valid 1500 UTC on 17 April.
Valid 1600 UTC on 17 April.
Valid 1700 UTC on 17 April.
Valid 1800 UTC on 17 April.
LAPS analyses.
Valid For 2000 UTC on 17 April.
Valid For 0000 UTC on 18 April.
Valid For 0300 UTC on 18 April.
Valid For 0600 UTC on 18 April.
Valid For 0900 UTC on 18 April.
Mesoeta forecasts from 0600 UTC run on 5 June 2001.
30 h surface wind, precipitation and temperature forecast
valid 1200 UTC on 6 June.
MM5hot forecasts from 1200 UTC run on 5 June 2001.
0 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity with obs valid 1200 UTC on 5 June.
2 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity with obs valid 1400 UTC on 5 June.
3 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity with obs valid 1500 UTC on 5 June.
Surface wind closeup valid
1500 UTC on 5 June.
5 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity with obs valid 1700 UTC on 5 June.
6 h surface forecast of
CAPE, CIN, Td and precipitation valid 1800 UTC on 5 June.
Surface wind closeup valid
1800 UTC on 5 June.
9 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity and temperature valid 2100 UTC on 5 June.
Surface wind closeup valid
2100 UTC on 5 June.
CAPE, CIN, Td and precipitation valid
2100 UTC on 5 June.
12 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity and temperature valid 0000 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind closeup valid
0000 UTC on 6 June.
CAPE, CIN, Td and precipitation valid
0000 UTC on 6 June.
Storm total precipitation for 12 h ending at
0000 UTC on 6 June.
15 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity and temperature valid 0300 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind closeup valid
0300 UTC on 6 June.
CAPE, CIN, Td and precipitation valid
0300 UTC on 6 June.
18 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity and temperature valid 0600 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind closeup valid
0600 UTC on 6 June.
CAPE, CIN, Td and precipitation valid
0600 UTC on 6 June.
Mesoeta forecasts from 1200 UTC run on 5 June 2001.
3 h surface wind, precipitation and temperature forecast
valid 1500 UTC on 5 June.
9 h surface wind, precipitation and temperature forecast
valid 2100 UTC on 5 June.
CAPE, CIN, and Td valid
2100 UTC on 5 June.
12 h ETA total precipitation forecast
valid 0000 UTC on 6 June.
15 h surface wind, precipitation and temperature forecast
valid 0300 UTC on 6 June.
CAPE, CIN, and Td valid
0300 UTC on 6 June.
24 h ETA total precipitation forecast
valid 1200 UTC on 6 June.
20 km RUC forecasts from 1200 UTC (or 1400 UTC) run on 5 June 2001.
3 h surface wind forecast from 1400 UTC run
valid 1700 UTC on 5 June.
6 h surface wind forecast from 1400 UTC run
valid 2000 UTC on 5 June.
9 h surface wind forecast from 1200 UTC run
valid 2100 UTC on 5 June.
Surface wind and 3h precipitation valid
2100 UTC on 5 June.
CAPE and CIN valid 2100 UTC on 5 June.
12 h surface wind forecast from 1200 UTC run
valid 0000 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind and 3h precipitation valid
0000 UTC on 6 June.
CAPE and CIN valid 0000 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind Td valid
0000 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind and MSL pressure valid
0000 UTC on 6 June.
500 mb heights and vorticity valid
0000 UTC on 6 June.
15 h surface wind forecast from 1200 UTC run
valid 0300 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind and 3h precipitation valid
0300 UTC on 6 June.
CAPE and CIN valid 0300 UTC on 6 June.
18 h surface wind forecast from 1200 UTC run
valid 0600 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind and 3h precipitation valid
0600 UTC on 6 June.
MM5hot forecasts from 1800 UTC run on 5 June 2001.
0 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity valid 1800 UTC on 5 June.
Surface wind and temperature closeup valid
1800 UTC on 5 June.
CAPE and CIN valid
1800 UTC on 5 June.
Surface wind, temperature and Td valid
1800 UTC on 5 June.
3 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity valid 2100 UTC on 5 June.
Surface wind and temperature closeup valid
2100 UTC on 5 June.
CAPE and CIN valid
2100 UTC on 5 June.
Surface wind, temperature and Td valid
2100 UTC on 5 June.
4 h surface forecast of wind and temperature closeup valid
2200 UTC on 5 June.
5 h surface forecast of wind and temperature closeup valid
2300 UTC on 5 June.
6 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity valid 0000 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind and temperature closeup valid
0000 UTC on 6 June.
CAPE and CIN valid
0000 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind, temperature and Td valid
0000 UTC on 6 June.
7 h surface forecast of wind and temperature closeup valid
0100 UTC on 6 June.
8 h surface forecast of wind and temperature closeup valid
0200 UTC on 6 June.
9 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity valid 0300 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind and temperature closeup valid
0300 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind, temperature and Td valid
0300 UTC on 6 June.
12 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity valid 0600 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind and temperature closeup valid
0600 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind, temperature and Td valid
0600 UTC on 6 June.
15 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity valid 0900 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind and temperature closeup valid
0900 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind, temperature and Td valid
0900 UTC on 6 June.
18 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity valid 1200 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind and temperature closeup valid
1200 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind, temperature and Td valid
1200 UTC on 6 June.
21 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity valid 1500 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind and temperature closeup valid
1500 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind, temperature and Td valid
1500 UTC on 6 June.
24 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity valid 1800 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind and temperature closeup valid
1800 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind, temperature and Td valid
1800 UTC on 6 June.
Mesoeta forecasts from 1800 UTC run on 5 June 2001.
0 h surface wind, precipitation and temperature forecast
valid 1800 UTC on 5 June.
CAPE, CIN, and Td valid
1800 UTC on 5 June.
3 h surface wind, precipitation and temperature forecast
valid 2100 UTC on 5 June.
CAPE, CIN, and Td valid
2100 UTC on 5 June.
6 h surface wind, precipitation and temperature forecast
valid 0000 UTC on 6 June.
CAPE, CIN, and Td valid
0000 UTC on 6 June.
9 h surface wind, precipitation and temperature forecast
valid 0300 UTC on 6 June.
CAPE, CIN, and Td valid
0300 UTC on 6 June.
12 h surface wind, precipitation and temperature forecast
valid 0600 UTC on 6 June.
15 h surface wind, precipitation and temperature forecast
valid 0900 UTC on 6 June.
20 km RUC forecasts from 1800 UTC run on 5 June 2001.
0 h surface wind forecast
valid 1800 UTC on 5 June.
CAPE and CIN valid
1800 UTC on 5 June.
6 h surface wind forecast
valid 0000 UTC on 6 June.
CAPE and CIN valid
0000 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind and temperature valid
0000 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind and Td valid
0000 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind, temperature and precipitation forecast valid
0000 UTC on 6 June.
9 h surface wind forecast
valid 0300 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind, temperature and precipitation forecast valid
0300 UTC on 6 June.
12 h surface wind forecast
valid 0600 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind, temperature and precipitation forecast valid
0600 UTC on 6 June.
12h accumulated precipitation forecast
ending at 0600 UTC on 6 June.
15 h surface wind forecast
valid 0900 UTC on 6 June.
Surface wind, temperature and precipitation forecast valid
0900 UTC on 6 June.
18 h surface wind forecast
valid 1200 UTC on 6 June.
Verification.
DEN soundings.
Valid 1200 UTC on 5 June 2001.
Valid 0000 UTC on 6 June 2001.
Valid 1200 UTC on 6 June 2001.
State scale surface data plots with visible satellite imagery.
Valid 1800 UTC on 5 June.
Valid 1900 UTC on 5 June.
Valid 2000 UTC on 5 June.
Valid 2100 UTC on 5 June.
Valid 2200 UTC on 5 June.
Valid 2300 UTC on 5 June.
State scale surface data plots with radar imagery.
Valid 0000 UTC on 6 June.
Valid 0100 UTC on 6 June.
Valid 0200 UTC on 6 June.
Valid 0300 UTC on 6 June.
Valid 0400 UTC on 6 June.
Valid 0500 UTC on 6 June.
Valid 0600 UTC on 6 June.
Valid 0700 UTC on 6 June.
Valid 0800 UTC on 6 June.
Valid 0900 UTC on 6 June.
Valid 1000 UTC on 6 June.
Valid 1100 UTC on 6 June.
Valid 1200 UTC on 6 June.
Valid 1300 UTC on 6 June.
Valid 1500 UTC on 6 June.
LAPS analyses.
Larger scale wind and MSL pressure analysis valid 1200 UTC on 5 June.
Zoomed over DEN area for 1200 UTC.
Larger scale wind and MSL pressure analysis valid 1500 UTC on 5 June.
State scale wind analysis for 1500 UTC.
Zoomed over DEN area for 1500 UTC.
Larger scale wind and MSL pressure analysis valid 1800 UTC on 5 June.
State scale wind analysis for 1800 UTC.
Zoomed over DEN area for 1800 UTC.
Larger scale wind and MSL pressure analysis valid 2100 UTC on 5 June.
State scale wind analysis for 2100 UTC.
Zoomed over DEN area for 2100 UTC.
Larger scale wind and MSL pressure analysis valid 0000 UTC on 6 June.
Cloud and reflectivity analysis for 0000 UTC.
Larger scale wind and MSL pressure analysis valid 0300 UTC on 6 June.
Cloud and reflectivity analysis for 0300 UTC.
Larger scale wind and MSL pressure analysis valid 0600 UTC on 6 June.
Cloud and reflectivity analysis for 0600 UTC.
Larger scale wind and MSL pressure analysis valid 0900 UTC on 6 June.
Cloud and reflectivity analysis for 0900 UTC.
Larger scale wind and MSL pressure analysis valid 1100 UTC on 5 June.
MM5hot forecasts from 1200 UTC run on 7 June 2001.
0 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 1200 UTC on 7 June.
Surface wind closeup for "Pueblo Cyclone" valid
1200 UTC on 7 June, with visible satellite image.
Surface temperature and Td valid
1200 UTC on 7 June.
1 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 1300 UTC on 7 June.
2 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 1400 UTC on 7 June.
3 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 1500 UTC on 7 June.
Temperature and Td
valid 1500 UTC on 7 June.
4 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 1600 UTC on 7 June.
Surface wind closeup for "Pueblo Cyclone" valid
1600 UTC on 7 June, with visible satellite image.
5 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 1700 UTC on 7 June.
Surface wind closeup for "Pueblo Cyclone" valid
1700 UTC on 7 June, with visible satellite image.
6 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 1800 UTC on 7 June.
Surface wind closeup for "Pueblo Cyclone" valid
1800 UTC on 7 June, with visible satellite image.
Surface temperature and Td valid
1800 UTC on 7 June.
CAPE and CIN valid
1800 UTC on 7 June.
7 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 1900 UTC on 7 June.
Model wind and reflectivity valid
1900 UTC on 7 June.
Surface wind closeup for "Pueblo Cyclone" valid
1900 UTC on 7 June, with visible satellite image.
8 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 2000 UTC on 7 June.
Model wind and reflectivity valid
2000 UTC on 7 June.
9 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 2100 UTC on 7 June.
Model wind and reflectivity valid
2100 UTC on 7 June.
Surface wind closeup for "Pueblo Cyclone" valid
2100 UTC on 7 June, with visible satellite image.
Surface temperature and Td valid
2100 UTC on 7 June.
CAPE and CIN valid
2100 UTC on 7 June.
10 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 2200 UTC on 7 June.
Model wind and reflectivity valid
2200 UTC on 7 June.
11 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 2300 UTC on 7 June.
Model wind and reflectivity valid
2300 UTC on 7 June.
12 h surface forecast of
Model wind and reflectivity valid 0000 UTC on 8 June.
Surface wind closeup for "Pueblo Cyclone" valid
0000 UTC on 8 June.
Surface temperature and Td valid
0000 UTC on 8 June.
CAPE and CIN valid
0000 UTC on 8 June.
13 h surface forecast of
Model wind and reflectivity valid 0100 UTC on 8 June.
14 h surface forecast of
Model wind and reflectivity valid 0200 UTC on 8 June.
15 h surface forecast of
Model wind and reflectivity valid 0300 UTC on 8 June. ls
CAPE and CIN valid
0300 UTC on 8 June.
16 h surface forecast of
Model wind and reflectivity valid 0400 UTC on 8 June.
17 h surface forecast of
Model wind and reflectivity valid 0500 UTC on 8 June.
18 h surface forecast of
Model wind and reflectivity valid 0600 UTC on 8 June.
19 h surface forecast of
Model wind and reflectivity valid 0700 UTC on 8 June.
20 h surface forecast of
Model wind and reflectivity valid 0800 UTC on 8 June.
21 h surface forecast of
Model wind and reflectivity valid 0900 UTC on 8 June.
24 h surface forecast of
Model wind and reflectivity valid 1200 UTC on 8 June.
Mesoeta forecasts from 1200 UTC run on 7 June 2001.
3 h surface forecast of
winds and precipitation with obs valid 1500 UTC on 7 June.
6 h surface forecast of
winds and precipitation with obs valid 1800 UTC on 7 June.
9 h surface forecast of
winds and precipitation valid 2100 UTC on 7 June.
12 h surface forecast of
winds and precipitation valid 0000 UTC on 8 June.
20 km RUC forecasts from 1200 UTC run on 7 June 2001, along with selected forecasts
from other start times, as indicated.
1200 UTC run
9 h
surface wind forecast valid 2100 UTC on 7 June.
9 h
surface wind and precipitation forecast valid 2100 UTC on 7 June.
1200 UTC run
12 h
surface wind forecast valid 0000 UTC on 8 June.
12 h
surface wind and precipitation forecast valid 0000 UTC on 8 June.
12 h
CAPE and CIN forecast valid 0000 UTC on 8 June.
12 h
SREH and storm motion forecast valid 0000 UTC on 8 June.
12 h
surface wind and Td forecast valid 0000 UTC on 8 June.
12 h
surface wind and MSL pressure forecast valid 0000 UTC on 8 June.
15 h
surface wind forecast valid 0300 UTC on 8 June.
15 h
surface wind and precipitation forecast valid 0300 UTC on 8 June.
18 h
surface wind forecast valid 0600 UTC on 8 June.
18 h
surface wind and precipitation forecast valid 0600 UTC on 8 June.
1300 UTC run
3 h
surface wind forecast valid 1600 UTC on 7 June.
6 h
surface wind forecast valid 1900 UTC on 7 June.
1400 UTC run
0 h
surface wind forecast valid 1400 UTC on 7 June.
1800 UTC run
3 h
surface wind forecast valid 2100 UTC on 7 June.
Verification.
Text weather info, forecasts, etc.
DEN soundings.
Valid 1200 UTC on 7 June 2001.
Profilers.
PTL, ending 2200 UTC on 7 June 2001.
Granada, ending 2200 UTC on 7 June 2001.
State scale surface data plots with visible satellite imagery.
Valid 1900 UTC on 7 June.
Valid 2000 UTC on 7 June.
Valid 2100 UTC on 7 June.
Valid 2200 UTC on 7 June.
LAPS analyses.
Larger scale
wind analysis valid 1200 UTC on 7 June.
Larger scale
cloud and reflectivity analysis
valid 1200 UTC on 7 June.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over DEN area for 1200 UTC.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over PUB area for 1200 UTC.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over PUB area for 1300 UTC on 7 June.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over PUB area for 1400 UTC on 7 June.
Larger scale
wind analysis valid 1500 UTC on 7 June.
Larger scale
cloud and reflectivity analysis
valid 1500 UTC on 7 June.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over DEN area for 1500 UTC.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over PUB area for 1500 UTC.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over PUB area for 1600 UTC on 7 June.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over PUB area for 1700 UTC on 7 June.
Larger scale
wind analysis valid 1800 UTC on 7 June.
Larger scale
cloud and reflectivity analysis
valid 1800 UTC on 7 June.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over DEN area for 1800 UTC.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over PUB area for 1800 UTC.
1900 UTC on analyses on 7 June.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over DEN area for 1900 UTC.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over PUB area for 1900 UTC.
2000 UTC on analyses on 7 June.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over DEN area for 2000 UTC.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over PUB area for 2000 UTC.
Larger scale
wind analysis valid 2100 UTC on 7 June.
Larger scale
cloud and reflectivity analysis
valid 2100 UTC on 7 June.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over DEN area for 2100 UTC.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over PUB area for 2100 UTC.
2200 UTC on analyses on 7 June.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over DEN area for 2200 UTC.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over PUB area for 2200 UTC.
2300 UTC on analyses on 7 June.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over DEN area for 2300 UTC.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over PUB area for 2300 UTC.
Larger scale
wind analysis valid 0000 UTC on 8 June.
Larger scale
cloud and reflectivity analysis
valid 0000 UTC on 8 June.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over DEN area for 0000 UTC.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over PUB area for 0000 UTC.
Larger scale
wind analysis valid 0300 UTC on 8 June.
Larger scale
cloud and reflectivity analysis
valid 0300 UTC on 8 June.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over DEN area for 0300 UTC.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over PUB area for 0300 UTC.
Larger scale
wind analysis valid 0600 UTC on 8 June.
Larger scale
cloud and reflectivity analysis
valid 0600 UTC on 8 June.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over DEN area for 0600 UTC.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over PUB area for 0600 UTC.
Larger scale
wind analysis valid 0900 UTC on 8 June.
Larger scale
cloud and reflectivity analysis
valid 0900 UTC on 8 June.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over DEN area for 0900 UTC.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over PUB area for 0900 UTC.
Larger scale
wind analysis valid 1200 UTC on 8 June.
Larger scale
cloud and reflectivity analysis
valid 1200 UTC on 8 June.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over DEN area for 1200 UTC.
Wind and reflectivity with obs
Zoomed over PUB area for 1200 UTC.
20 km RUC forecasts from 8 June 2001, for the start times indicated.
1200 UTC run
9 h
surface wind forecast valid 2100 UTC on 8 June.
12 h
surface wind forecast valid 0000 UTC on 9 June.
15 h
surface wind forecast valid 0300 UTC on 9 June.
18 h
surface wind forecast valid 0600 UTC on 9 June.
1500 UTC run
0 h
surface wind forecast valid 1500 UTC on 8 June.
1800 UTC run
3 h
surface wind forecast valid 2100 UTC on 8 June.
6 h
surface wind forecast valid 0000 UTC on 9 June.
MM5hot forecasts from 1800 UTC run on 8 June 2001.
0 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity valid 1800 UTC on 8 June.
1 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity valid 1900 UTC on 8 June.
3 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity valid 2100 UTC on 8 June.
6 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity valid 0000 UTC on 9 June.
Mesoeta forecasts from 1800 UTC run on 8 June 2001.
0 h surface forecast of
wind and precipitation valid 1800 UTC on 8 June.
3 h surface forecast of
wind and precipitation valid 2100 UTC on 8 June.
9 h surface forecast of
wind and precipitation valid 0300 UTC on 9 June.
Verification.
Text weather info, forecasts, etc.
LAPS analyses.
Larger scale
wind analysis valid 1800 UTC on 8 June.
Larger scale
cloud and reflectivity analysis
valid 1800 UTC on 8 June.
Larger scale
wind analysis valid 2100 UTC on 8 June.
Larger scale
cloud and reflectivity analysis
valid 2100 UTC on 8 June.
Larger scale
wind analysis valid 0000 UTC on 9 June.
Larger scale
cloud and reflectivity analysis
valid 0000 UTC on 9 June.
Larger scale
wind analysis valid 0300 UTC on 9 June.
Larger scale
cloud and reflectivity analysis
valid 0300 UTC on 9 June.
Larger scale
wind analysis valid 0600 UTC on 9 June.
Larger scale
cloud and reflectivity analysis
valid 0600 UTC on 9 June.
MM5hot forecasts from 1800 UTC run on 26 June 2001.
0 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 1800 UTC on 26 June.
Surface closeup for "Pueblo Cyclone" valid 1800 UTC with NOWRAD and obs.
1 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 1900 UTC on 26 June.
Surface closeup for "Pueblo Cyclone" valid 1900 UTC with NOWRAD and obs.
2 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 2000 UTC on 26 June.
Surface closeup for "Pueblo Cyclone" valid 2000 UTC with NOWRAD and obs.
3 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 2100 UTC on 26 June.
Surface closeup for "Pueblo Cyclone" valid 2100 UTC with NOWRAD and obs.
4 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 2200 UTC on 26 June.
5 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 2300 UTC on 26 June.
6 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity valid 0000 UTC on 27 June.
Surface closeup for "Pueblo Cyclone" valid 0000 UTC.
9 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity valid 0300 UTC on 27 June.
Surface closeup for "Pueblo Cyclone" valid 0300 UTC.
12 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity valid 0600 UTC on 27 June.
Surface closeup for "Pueblo Cyclone" valid 0600 UTC.
15 h surface forecast of
closeup of wind and reflectivity for "Pueblo Cyclone" valid 0900 UTC on 27 June.
18 h surface forecast of
wind and reflectivity valid 1200 UTC on 27 June.
Surface closeup for "Pueblo Cyclone" valid 1200 UTC.
19 h surface forecast of
closeup of wind and reflectivity for "Pueblo Cyclone" valid 1300 UTC on 27 June.
20 h surface forecast of
closeup of wind and reflectivity for "Pueblo Cyclone" valid 1400 UTC on 27 June.
21 h surface forecast of
closeup of wind and reflectivity for "Pueblo Cyclone" valid 1500 UTC on 27 June.
24 h surface forecast of
closeup of wind and reflectivity for "Pueblo Cyclone" valid 1800 UTC on 27 June.
Mesoeta forecasts from 1800 UTC run on 26 June 2001.
0 h surface forecast of
wind and precipitation valid 1800 UTC on 26 June.
3 h surface forecast of
wind and precipitation valid 2100 UTC on 26 June.
6 h surface forecast of
wind and precipitation valid 0000 UTC on 27 June.
9 h surface forecast of
wind and precipitation valid 0300 UTC on 27 June.
12 h surface forecast of
wind and precipitation valid 0600 UTC on 27 June.
18 h surface forecast of
wind and precipitation valid 1200 UTC on 27 June.
24 h surface forecast of
wind and precipitation valid 1800 UTC on 27 June.
20 km RUC analyses for 1800 UTC run on 26 June 2001.
0 h surface
wind analysis valid 1800 UTC on 26 June.
Surface wind and temperature.
CAPE and CIN.
Verification.
Text weather info, forecasts, etc.
DEN soundings.
Valid 1200 UTC on 26 June 2001.
Profilers.
PTL, ending 2300 UTC on 26 June 2001.
MM5hot forecasts from 1200 UTC run on 5 July 2001.
0 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 1200 UTC on 5 July.
Same for BOU WFO scale.
2 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 1400 UTC on 5 July.
Same for BOU WFO scale.
3 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 1500 UTC on 5 July.
Same for BOU WFO scale.
4 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 1600 UTC on 5 July.
Same for BOU WFO scale.
5 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 1700 UTC on 5 July.
Same for BOU WFO scale.
6 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 1800 UTC on 5 July.
Same for BOU WFO scale.
9 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and reflectivity valid 1200 UTC on 5 July.
Same for BOU WFO scale.
12 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and reflectivity valid 0000 UTC on 6 July.
Same for BOU WFO scale.
15 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and reflectivity valid 0300 UTC on 6 July.
Same for BOU WFO scale.
18 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and reflectivity valid 0600 UTC on 6 July.
Same for BOU WFO scale.
21 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and reflectivity valid 0900 UTC on 6 July.
Same for BOU WFO scale.
24 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and reflectivity valid 1200 UTC on 6 July.
Same for BOU WFO scale.
Mesoeta forecasts from 1200 UTC run on 5 July 2001.
0 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and precipitation with obs and NOWRAD valid 1200 UTC on 5 July.
Closeup for BOU WFO scale.
3 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and precipitation with obs and NOWRAD valid 1500 UTC on 5 July.
Closeup for BOU WFO scale.
6 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and precipitation with obs and NOWRAD valid 1800 UTC on 5 July.
Closeup for BOU WFO scale.
9 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and precipitation with obs and NOWRAD valid 2100 UTC on 5 July.
Closeup for BOU WFO scale.
State scale surface forecast
with model forecast only of wind, temperature and precipitation
valid 2100 UTC on 8 June.
BOU WFO scale surface forecast
with model forecast only of wind, temperature and precipitation
valid 2100 UTC on 8 June.
12 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and precipitation valid 0000 UTC on 6 July.
Closeup for BOU WFO scale.
Point sounding comparisons between the Mesoeta and MM5hot.
Comparisons for a point in eastern Colorado.
6 h forecast valid 1800 UTC on 5 July.
9 h forecast valid 2100 UTC on 5 July.
12 h forecast valid 0000 UTC on 6 July.
Comparisons for a point near the Denver sounding site.
12 h forecast valid 0000 UTC on 6 July.
20 km RUC forecasts from 1200 UTC run on 5 July 2001. (Note: a few forecasts, shown first,
are available from the 1300 UTC and 1400 UTC runs, as indicated.)
Forecast from the 1300 UTC run:
6 h forecast of surface wind valid 1900 UTC on 6 July.
Forecast from the 1400 UTC run:
3 h forecast of surface wind valid 1700 UTC on 6 July.
9 h surface wind forecast from the 1200 UTC run
valid 2100 UTC on 5 July.
CAPE and CIN valid
2100 UTC on 6 July.
Surface wind and temperature valid
2100 UTC on 6 July.
Surface wind and Td valid
2100 UTC on 6 July.
Surface wind and 3h precipitation forecast valid
2100 UTC on 6 July.
12 h surface wind forecast
valid 0000 UTC on 6 July.
CAPE and CIN valid
0000 UTC on 6 July.
Surface wind and temperature valid
0000 UTC on 6 July.
Surface wind and Td valid
0000 UTC on 6 July.
Surface wind and 3h precipitation forecast valid
0000 UTC on 6 July.
15 h surface wind forecast
valid 0300 UTC on 6 July.
CAPE and CIN valid
0300 UTC on 6 July.
Surface wind and 3h precipitation forecast valid
0300 UTC on 6 July.
18 h surface wind forecast
valid 0600 UTC on 6 July.
CAPE and CIN valid
0600 UTC on 6 July.
Surface wind and 3h precipitation forecast valid
0600 UTC on 6 July.
MM5hot forecasts from 1800 UTC run on 5 July 2001.
0 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 1800 UTC on 5 July.
Same for BOU WFO scale.
1 h WFO scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 1900 UTC on 5 July.
2 h WFO scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 2000 UTC on 5 July.
3 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and reflectivity with obs and NOWRAD valid 2100 UTC on 5 July.
Same for BOU WFO scale.
6 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and reflectivity valid 0000 UTC on 6 July.
Same for BOU WFO scale.
9 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and reflectivity valid 0300 UTC on 6 July.
Same for BOU WFO scale.
12 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and reflectivity valid 0600 UTC on 6 July.
Same for BOU WFO scale.
15 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and reflectivity valid 0900 UTC on 6 July.
Same for BOU WFO scale.
18 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and reflectivity valid 1200 UTC on 6 July.
Same for BOU WFO scale.
Mesoeta forecasts from 1800 UTC run on 5 July 2001.
0 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and precipitation with obs and NOWRAD valid 1800 UTC on 5 July.
3 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and precipitation with obs and NOWRAD valid 2100 UTC on 5 July.
6 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and precipitation valid 0000 UTC on 6 July.
9 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and precipitation valid 0300 UTC on 6 July.
12 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and precipitation valid 0600 UTC on 6 July.
15 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and precipitation valid 0900 UTC on 6 July.
18 h State scale surface forecast of
wind, temperature and precipitation valid 1200 UTC on 6 July.
Verification.
Text weather info, forecasts, etc.
DEN soundings.
Valid 0000 UTC on 6 July 2001.
Profilers.
PTL, ending 0400 UTC on 6 July 2001.
Large scale plots.
Valid 1500 UTC on 5 July.
Valid 1800 UTC on 5 July.
Valid 2100 UTC on 5 July.
Valid 0000 UTC on 6 July.
BOU WFO scale surface data and lightning plots with visible satellite imagery.
Valid 2000 UTC on 5 July.
Valid 2100 UTC on 5 July.
Valid 2200 UTC on 5 July.
Valid 2300 UTC on 5 July.
Radar imagery (all scans are low-level, 0.5 degrees).
BOU WFO scale images with surface data.
1800 UTC
Velocity
2000 UTC
Reflectivity
Velocity
2100 UTC
Reflectivity
Velocity
2200 UTC
Reflectivity
Velocity
2300 UTC
Reflectivity
Velocity
State scale NOWRAD images with surface data.
0000 UTC 6 July.
0100 UTC 6 July.
0200 UTC 6 July.
0300 UTC 6 July.
0600 UTC 6 July.
0900 UTC 6 July.
1200 UTC 6 July.
